Provisional Program

This was a provisional program and differs in places to the actual program.
The most up-to-date version is available as a pdf document: detailed conference program [130k].

Tuesday 3 July 2007
0900

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Welcome
Peter Lindsay


0910

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Complex Systems Perspective on the Revolution in Human Performance Optimization
Kenneth Boff


0950

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Controlling complex resources over different timeframes in process control
Penelope Sanderson


1030

Tuesday Morning Tea


1230

Tuesday Lunch


1330

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Complex systems challenges in health care
Michael Ward


1420

Venue: Elston room

Defence and Security A

The Rosetta-II Project: Measuring National Differences in Complex Cognition
Richard Warren

Human aspects of managing complex systems
Alex Wearing


Venue: Waianbah room

Health Panel

Health Panel: Exploring the complexities of healthcare
Michael Ward


Venue: Verandah

Business and Economics A

ACE modelling: does size matter?
Paul Davis

The Emergence of New Markets
Ella Reeks

A Review of Design Approaches Within Schumpeterian Economic Simulations
Craig Lynch

Introduction to an Agent-Based Model of Development Processes in Tanzania
Brett Parris


Venue: Hinterland 1

General Track A

Islets in an Ocean: Towards a Philosophy of Complexity
Tony Smith

Is the fractal geometry of nature a coincidence?
Dave Winkler

Mythological Archetypes as an Emergent Process
Victor MacGill

Managing Linguistic Complexity
David Butt


Venue: Hinterland 2

Computational Modelling for Biology and Chemistry A

Monte Carlo without Markov chains for model polymers
Aleks Owczarek

Identifying fundamental principles to effectively shape social institutions in natural resource management
Luis R. Izquierdo

Modeling the Import of Nuclear Proteins
John Hawkins


Venue: TerraceRoom 1

Complexity in Energy, Water, and Urban Development A

Optimal GENCO's Bidding Strategies under Price Uncertainty with Bilateral Contracts
Xia Yin

NEMSIM: Towards practical deployment of an agent-based, scenario exploration simulation tool for the National Electricity Market
George Grozev

Tuning the cognitive complexity in participatory modelling
Geoffrey Poulton

Impacts of Vehicle-to Grid (V2G) technologies on electricity market operations
Ariel Liebman


1540

Tuesday Afternoon Tea


1600

Venue: Elston room

Defence and Security B

Adaptive Campaigning
Wade Stothart

Implementing an Adaptive Approach in Non-Kinetic Counterinsurgency Operations
Mick Ryan

The Adaptive Stance
Anne-Marie Grisogono

Dealing with battlefield complexity: A decision maker's perspective
Damien Armenis

The Importance of Contextually Sensitive Processes In Supporting Ad-hoc Collaborative Working In Complex Systems
Peter Johnson


Venue: Waianbah room

General Track B

Forecasting Commodities Markets using Agent Based Modelling Techniques.
David Miron

Emerging Network Structure in a Darwinised Data-Oriented Parser
Dave Cochran

Evolution of node-clusters in space associated with processes determined by Voronoi maps: statistics from simulations.
David Odell


Venue: Verandah

Business and Economics B

Automatic Extraction and Modelling of Human Knowledge Networks from Natural Language using a Complex Systems Approach
Andrew Smith

Using Kauffman
James Wiley

The Cost of Information Acquisition in a Supply Network of Rationally Bounded Negotiating Agents
Rene Weiskircher

'Discovering' Small Worlds in Potentially Biased Networks: A Methodological Critique
Sam MacAulay

Modeling innovation changes in business networks
Sharon Purchase

Mean Bad Birds versus Kind Friendly Chickens: Group Selection and the Evolution of Cooperation
Ian Wilkinson


Venue: Hinterland 1

Turbulence A

Eddy structure in the Roughness Sub-Layer
John Finnigan

On subgrid-scale parameterizations of the eddy viscosity, stochastic backscatter and the eddy-topographic force
Terry O'Kane

Statistical Models of a Tracer Plume in the Complex Urban Canopies
Peter Dawson

A world tour of dynamical systems, stability, and chaos.
Rowena Ball

Bifurcation in Resistive Drift Wave Turbulence
Ryusuke Numata


Venue: Hinterland 2

Computational Modelling for Biology and Chemistry B

Importance sampling strategies for forwards and backwards processes in population genetics
Martin O'Hely

Simplified models for vibrational energy transfer in proteins
Steven Lade

Suddenly-stopped flow in a curved pipe
Richard Clarke

Interactively exploring distributed computational models of biology
James Watson

Modelling population processes with random initial conditions
Philip Pollett


Venue: TerraceRoom 1

Complexity in Energy, Water, and Urban Development B

The Intelligent Grid Project
Rene Weiskircher

Complex Behaviour among many Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning Systems
Geoffrey James

The interaction between water and energy supply and use
Tim Baynes

Water service delivery in Tarawa: creating an agent based model for integrated analysis
Magnus Moglia

The Complex Dynamics of Urban Systems Project at CSIRO
Tim Baynes

Complexity of Urbanization Patterns and Resource Use in Sea Change Communities across Australia: the interplay between pattern and structure
Kostas Alexandridis


1800

Tuesday Break One


1830

Tuesday Play


1930

Tuesday Break Two


2000

Venue: Elston room

Defence and Security C

Diversity and complexity in pictures
Michael Barnsley

Robots for Warfighting - Simplifying Complexity in Right & Wrong Ways
Patrick Hew

Autonomic MANET Management Through the Use of Self Organizing UAVs
Robert Hunjet

A multi-objective genetic algorithm based method for designing low-cost complex networks resilient to targeted attacks.
George Leu

Agent based models---finding the right tool for the right job.
Matthew Berryman

A Framework for Decision Superiority in Complex Organisations
Chris Murray

Improving wargames using complex system practices
Anthonie van Lieburg


Venue: Waianbah room

Complex Systems Engineering A

"So...," asks the Chief Engineer "What do I go do?"
Douglas Norman

Exploiting CAS as a 'Force Multiplier' - Its Application to Policy, Acquisition, Assessment and Operational Employment
Patrick Beautement

Implementing Adaptive Campaigning Through Force Development
Tim Pickford

Exploring Social complexity and concept evolution in war games using Dialogue Mapping
Cherylne Fleming

Exploration of non-reductionist models of service ecosystems
Peter Bruza


Venue: Verandah

Business and Economics C

Breaching Walras's Law: a first step to modelling endogenous money
Steve Keen

Combining System Dynamics and Choice Modelling to Simulate Demand Effects of Integrated Customer-Centric Marketing and Revenue Management
Christine Mathies

The Use of Genetic Algorithms for Modelling the Behaviour of Boundedly Rational Agents in Economic Environments: Some Theoretical and Computational Considerations
Janice Gaffney

Minimalism and model-building: an assured model of the exchanges between consumers, retailers and manufacturers
Robert Marks

Agent-based design considerations to ensure behaviour is emergent: A Labour market simulation using RePast
Paul Davis

Performance metrics: Towards an uncertainty principle for organizations
Bill Lawless


Venue: Hinterland 1

Anomalous Diffusion A

Anomalous diffusion with linear reaction dynamics
Trevor Langlands

Fractional reaction diffusion along flow lines
Boris Baeumer

A Fractional Cable Equation for Anomalous Electrodiffusion in Nerve Cells
Bruce Henry

Heat Conduction in Nonlinear Systems
Bambi Hu

Simulation study on heat conduction and beyond
Nobuyasu Ito

Nonlocal heat transport in laser-produced plasmas
Frank Detering


Venue: Hinterland 2

General Track C

Distributed task allocation with autonomous selected agents
Kenta Oomiya

Information Contagion and Financial Prices
Mark Bowden


Venue: TerraceRoom 1

General Track D

Wetland ecosystems as manifestation of complex systems
Changhao Jin

Heuristics, complexity and belief networks: a case study of an outback livelihood system
Thomas Measham

A Preliminary Model for Studying the Interactions Between Nephrons
Robert Moss

A Tool to Analyse the Long-term Viability of an Agricultural Region by Considering the Interactions of Socio-Economic, Ecological Factors
Xianfeng Su


Wednesday 4 July 2007
0945

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Exponential random graph models for social networks
Pip Pattison


1030

Wednesday Morning Tea


1100

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Structure and dynamics of complex networks
Hawoong Jeong


1145

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

From words to meanings - Human knowledge as a complex system
Andrew Smith


1230

Wednesday Lunch


1330

Venue: Ballroom gallery

Poster Session



Venue: Ballroom gallery

Software Demos



1500

Wednesday Afternoon Tea


1530

Venue: Elston room

Defence and Security D

The Importance of Complexity Theory to Modelling and Analysis, Using a NCW example
Michael Lauren

A Comparative Study of Networked Teaming
Victor Fok

Team Composition: Linking Individual and Team Characteristics to Team Decision-Making and Performance
Sebastian Schafer

Network-Centric Complex Warfare
Mervyn Cheah

Whole of Government Operations
Ed Smith

Hurricane Katrina A Whole of Government Case Study
Mark Clemente


Venue: Waianbah room

General Track E

Advanced Data Analysis Methods to Detect and Predict the Non-technical Losses based on Customer Behaviour Changes for Power Utilities
Anisah Nizar

The Optimal Design of Profitable Renewable Energy Systems; A Hamiltonian Based Approach
Frank Horowitz

Resilient extraction of renewable resources
Cameron Fletcher


Venue: Verandah

General Track F

Mapping model complexity
Fabio Boschetti

Mimosa: using ontologies for modeling and simulation of complex systems
Jean-Pierre Muller

Perils of Power Laws
Russell Standish

Self-avoiding walk enumeration via the lace expansion
Nathan Clisby

Finite Time Ruin Probability with Heavy-Tailed Claims and Constant Interest Rate
Dingcheng Wang

Complexity in Speciation: Effects of disasters on adaptive radiation in a Dual Phase Evolution model
Greg Paperin


Venue: Hinterland 1

Complex Systems in the Earth Sciences A

Southern Hemisphere Climate Transitions and Storm Track Changes
Jorgen Frederiksen

Practical Aspects of Symbolisation and Subsequent Analysis of Weather Data
Jay Larson

Ensemble Prediction of Atmospheric Blocking Regime Transitions
Jorgen Frederiksen

Limitations to scaling up a biophysical domain within agent based models.
Geoffrey Carlin

Non-equilibrium thermodynamics of coupled systems
Alison Ord

The emergence of patterned shear bands and fracture systems in granular materials - A numerical study.
Alison Ord

Complexity of earthquake occurrence and implications for earthquake prediction
Dion Weatherley


Venue: Hinterland 2

Complex Systems Engineering B

Designing complex interactions - a people centred perspective
Daniel Bradley

Architecture Characteristics Required to Support an Evolvable Model Based Systems Engineering Environment
Peter Campbell

Evaluation of Conceptual Models for Agent Based Representation of Behaviour in a Simulation of the Capability Development Process
Kathy Darzanos

Simulation engine for strategic planning of health services using Agent Based Modeling
Ashok Kanagarajah

Architecture Trade-Off Analysis and Multi-Objective Optimization Strategies
Lars Grunske

Towards A Complex Systems Model Of Australian Air Traffic Management
Ariel Liebman

Morphogenic Systems Engineering for Self-Configuring Networks
Shane Magrath

A Self-Organising Sensing System for Structural Health Management
Don Price


Venue: TerraceRoom 1

Social Networks and Epidemiology A

State Estimation of Complex Social Networks
Daniel McMichael

Social influence models
Galina Daraganova

Missing data in social network analysis
Johan Koskinen

Understanding social networks in free-ranging cattle
Dave Swain

Assessing Uncertainty In The Structure Of Ecological Models Through A Qualitative Analysis Of System Feedback And Bayesian Belief
Jeff Dambacher

A Hybrid Agent-Based and Network Modelling Framework of Contagion Diffusion in Social Networks
Paul Box

Boolean networks as models of social behaviour
Tania Leishman

Local versus global processes on networks: Simple processes with complex dynamics
Peter Whigham


1830

Wednesday Break


1900

Venue: Waianbah room

Wednesday Conference Dinner



Thursday 5 July 2007
0945

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Carbon-climate-human interactions as a complex system
Mike Raupach


1030

Thursday Morning Tea


1100

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms



1145

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms



1230

Thursday Lunch


1330

Venue: Elston room

Defence and Security F

A Blueprint for Reform: Towards a Coherent National Security Strategy
Charlie Edwards

Examining 'Federation Learning': Assisting Development of Australia's National Security Systems
Rick Nunes-Vaz

Effectiveness of closed-loop congestion controls for DDoS attacks
Takanori Komatsu


Venue: Waianbah room

General Track G

Democracy's event horizon
Roger Bradbury

Value as a Driving Factor in Complex Human Enterprises
Patrick Beautement

Australia 2007 to 2025 - A Complex Systems Approach
Bruce Hobbs

The Evolution of the World Trade Web as a Complex System
Tim Kastelle


Venue: Verandah

General Track H

On Efficient Management of Complex Systems
Victor Korotkikh

Harvesting Heterogeneous Renewable Resources: Uncoordinated, Selfish, Team-, and Community-Oriented Strategies
Markus Brede

Social Capital: a complex of dynamic relationships
Angela Wardell-Johnson

Decision processes used to describe turn-off of Beef Cattle from Australian grazing farms.


Venue: Hinterland 1

General Track I

Non-Hamiltonian and fractional dynamics in complex plasma
James Stokes

Zonal flow generation by modulational instability
Robert Dewar

Variational principle for relaxed states of a plasma confined by a nonintegrable magnetic field
Robert Dewar


Venue: Hinterland 2

Social Science and Management A

Governance by Social Network: A Multiscale Analysis of Communication Efficiency
Adam Dunn

A way for leading in times of turbulent and consistent change
Roderick Cross

Complexity of the Australian public's orientation towards low emission technologies
Simone Carr Cornish

Hop, Step and Jump! - The application of a Self Organising Map (SOM) approach to the measurement of change in organizations
C.W. Peake


Venue: TerraceRoom 1

Social Networks and Epidemiology B

Social network approaches to hepatitis C virus epidemiology: outcomes from consecutive studies in Melbourne, Australia
Campbell Aitken

Complexity and the obesity epidemic
Matthew Beaty

Epidemic Spread Modelling: Alignment of Agent-based Simulation with a SIR Mathematical Model.
Peter Dawson


1450

Thursday Afternoon Tea


1520

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

Synchronisation and emergent intelligence in networked agents
Akira Namatame


1605

Venue: Elston and Waianbah rooms

The colourful geometry of nature
Michael Barnsley


1660

Conference Close


Conference Program Overview